Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000208 0.000232 0.000258 0.000288 0.000322 0.000358 0.000400
2025-03-02 0.000169 0.000201 0.000238 0.000283 0.000337 0.000398 0.000475
2025-03-09 0.000143 0.000180 0.000224 0.000281 0.000353 0.000441 0.000555
2025-03-16 0.000124 0.000164 0.000214 0.000282 0.000371 0.000485 0.000641
2025-03-23 0.000110 0.000151 0.000206 0.000283 0.000389 0.000530 0.000732
2025-03-30 0.000097 0.000139 0.000197 0.000281 0.000402 0.000568 0.000818
2025-04-06 0.000088 0.000131 0.000191 0.000283 0.000419 0.000614 0.000916
2025-04-13 0.000080 0.000123 0.000185 0.000283 0.000434 0.000656 0.001013
2025-04-20 0.000072 0.000114 0.000177 0.000279 0.000441 0.000688 0.001096
2025-04-27 0.000068 0.000111 0.000178 0.000289 0.000469 0.000753 0.001236
2025-05-04 0.000064 0.000107 0.000176 0.000294 0.000491 0.000810 0.001366
2025-05-11 0.000060 0.000103 0.000174 0.000297 0.000509 0.000861 0.001493
2025-05-18 0.000055 0.000098 0.000168 0.000296 0.000522 0.000907 0.001617
2025-05-25 0.000050 0.000091 0.000161 0.000291 0.000527 0.000939 0.001721
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000086 0.000156 0.000289 0.000538 0.000983 0.001850
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000082 0.000152 0.000290 0.000552 0.001034 0.001996
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000079 0.000149 0.000291 0.000567 0.001089 0.002156
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000075 0.000145 0.000289 0.000577 0.001133 0.002298
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000072 0.000143 0.000291 0.000594 0.001193 0.002476
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000069 0.000140 0.000291 0.000609 0.001248 0.002652
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000065 0.000135 0.000287 0.000613 0.001284 0.002789
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000065 0.000137 0.000297 0.000647 0.001384 0.003072
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000063 0.000137 0.000302 0.000673 0.001467 0.003324